Instead, Indian authorities fingered the Kazakh pilots and their
equipment. The aviators from the former Soviet republic, they said, did
not understand English instructions clearly, flew badly maintained
aircraft and had been involved in near collisions in the past. And
"KazAir," they added, is the worst of the national airlines formed when
the Central Asian republics gained independence. Kazakhstan authorities
closed the airline down a few months ago because of safety considerations.
It was restarted after a local bank took over its administration.
But the vice-president of KazAir, Ildus Nazmutdinov, defended his
airline. The plane involved in the accident was in good technical
condition, he said. "Our pilot knew English. We're just starting the
investigation and have very few details." The transcript of the
controller's conversation suggested that the Kazakh pilot did, in fact,
understand the instructions. Indian officials, however, believe he might
have failed to recalculate the altitude into feet. But KazAir officials
insist the aircraft had altimeters in feet as well as meters.
The location of the debris led to speculation that the Saudi pilot
might have misinterpreted the controller's instructions and climbed higher
than the 14,000 he had been cleared for. One of the plane's engines was
found on top of the Ilyushin's tail -- a possible indicator of the point
of impact. The juxtaposition also suggested that the Boeing had been
flying higher than the Kazakh plane at the time of collision. The cockpit
instruments show that impact occurred at 14,800 feet, which means the
Ilyushin was some 200 feet below its prescribed height and the Boeing 800
feet above it.
The one-week-old investigation is uncovering shortcomings at India's
busiest airport. The radar at Delhi is an older model that gives readings
in only one dimension -- range. More modern systems indicate the height,
speed and direction of aircraft, giving controllers a three-dimensional
picture of the traffic. Although the controller involved had told the
planes to fly at different heights, his equipment could not verify whether
they were actually keeping to the prescribed limits. He could only watch
as the two blips on his screen hurtled toward each other at a combined
speed of 800 miles an hour, hoping they would pass each other safely.
A newer radar, purchased from the American Raytheon Corp. for $128
million, had been installed. But, say government sources, it was not
working -- even though it should have been by October last year. New Delhi
has ordered another investigation to find out why. The Air Traffic
Controllers' Guild says that it urged authorities a month ago to upgrade
the capital's systems.
Some aviation experts have questioned the wisdom of allowing the
aircraft to pass directly over and under each other within New Delhi's
40-km commercial air corridor. They advocate horizontal separation.
Because of security considerations, the capital has only a single corridor
for incoming and outgoing flights that is oriented east and west -- the
general direction of Pakistan. The Indian Commercial Pilots Association
says it alerted the government to this danger more than a year ago. At the
same time, air traffic has ballooned from 68,000 flights in 1993 to
168,000 this year because of India's new open-skies policy. Near misses
have become a frequent occurrence.
Neither aircraft was fitted with automatic airborne advisory systems
that would have warned pilots they were on a collision course. The Saudi
Boeing was an older model which did not have the device, and the
Russian-made Ilyushin was not equipped with them. And for the systems to
work, the planes would have had to be fitted with compatible models. In
the United States, all aircraft are required to be so outfitted, and the
same rules will be in force in Europe by 2000.
"Indian airports handle more than a thousand aircraft a day. I do not
think our systems are at fault," said Civil Aviation Minister C.M.
Ibrahim. "However, the judicial investigation will reveal the real
reason." Ibrahim is Prime Minister H.D. Deve Gowda's most trusted
lieutenant and the government's chief spokesman on important issues. New
Delhi has been pulling out all stops to show that there were no lapses on
the part of any department coming under Ibrahim. The real cause of the
disaster is unlikely to be known until the ill-fated planes' flight
recorders are found and examined.